ALG’s Economic Forecast for 2014 Residual Values


Eric Lyman
VP, Edi­to­r­i­al and Part­ner Devel­op­ment

Eco­nom­ic fore­casts for 2014 pre­dict slow improve­ment, with GDP ris­ing by approx­i­mate­ly 2.5%; the Fed­er­al Reserve has off­set this impact by indi­cat­ing they will keep inter­est rates at zero for an extend­ed peri­od of time. The expect­ed over­all macro impact for ALG’s January/February 2014 edi­tion com­pared to November/December 2013 edi­tion is -0.1 per­cent­age points (ppts).

Here’s the ALG January/February 2014 Indus­try Report

This Edi­tion is Sim­i­lar to January/February 2013 Edi­tion:
When macro changes caused a -0.2- ppt decline in resid­u­als.

At Indus­try Lev­el, Used Sup­ply Fore­cast Was Flat for this Edi­tion:
With no mean­ing­ful impact to resid­u­als.

Seg­ment-lev­el Sup­ply Changes Vary, But on Aver­age Has Neu­tral Impact:
Rang­ing from -0.5 ppts for Pre­mi­um Sub­com­pact to +0.3 ppts for Pre­mi­um Full­size.



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