Global Automotive Challenges are Addressed

J.D. Power blog

Tim Dunne, direc­tor of Glob­al Auto Indus­try analy­sis at J.D. Pow­er, dis­cuss­es some of the changes in pow­er­trains and archi­tec­ture need­ed to meet future chal­lenges in the lat­est white paper.

Learn more about the chang­ing land­scape of the indus­try and future vehi­cles.

Reduc­ing and even elim­i­nat­ing harm­ful exhaust emis­sions from cars and trucks and improv­ing aver­age fuel econ­o­my for vehi­cle fleets remain key chal­lenges for glob­al automak­ers, accord­ing to a recent J.D. Pow­er paper, “The Chang­ing Land­scape of the Glob­al Auto­mo­tive Indus­try; A Glob­al Shift in the Bal­ance of Pow­er.”

Tim Dunne, direc­tor of glob­al auto­mo­tive indus­try analy­sis at J.D. Pow­er, dis­cuss­es some of the changes in the pow­er­trains and archi­tec­ture of future vehi­cles that are in process and are pro­ject­ed in the future as part of a glob­al auto­mo­tive indus­try paper that has been pub­lished in sev­er­al Stan­dard & Poor’s pub­li­ca­tions.

A few excerpts from the paper on engi­neer­ing inno­va­tion and emis­sions reduc­tion are fea­tured:

• Tra­di­tion­al ICEs that burn gaso­line, diesel, or anoth­er com­bustible fuel will pow­er a major­i­ty (97%) of pas­sen­ger vehi­cles sold in 2013, accord­ing to LMC Auto­mo­tive, J.D. Power’s strate­gic part­ner.

• Only 3% of the mix will have alter­na­tive powertrains—such as a hybrid powertrain—or a full bat­tery EV.

• By 2020, the per­cent­age of alter­na­tive pow­er­trains is expect­ed to increase slight­ly to 5% world­wide.

• Automak­ers and sup­pli­ers believe there is great poten­tial to improve fuel econ­o­my and reduce emis­sions with cur­rent ICE tech­nol­o­gy.

• Small­er and more effi­cient 3- and 4-cylin­der engines are expect­ed.

• In 2013,LMC Auto­mo­tive esti­mates that 3- and 4-cylin­der engines will account for 84% of the glob­al engine total.

• By 2020, the glob­al per­cent­age of small engines will rise to 87%.

• Tech­nol­o­gy improve­ments already are help­ing improve effi­cien­cy and reduce emissions—such as stop-start tech­nol­o­gy; tur­bocharg­ers for small­er engines; and the intro­duc­tion of more effi­cient 8-, 9- and 10-speed trans­mis­sions.

• J.D. Pow­er expects the pro­duc­tion of small­er and lighter vehi­cles to ramp up.

Dunne points out in his analy­sis that alter­na­tive vehi­cles could be a solu­tion in the future if automak­ers can over­come two big hur­dles: low­er­ing prices and boost­ing per­for­mance.




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