Tim Dunne, director of Global Auto Industry analysis at J.D. Power, discusses some of the changes in powertrains and architecture needed to meet future challenges in the latest white paper.
Learn more about the changing landscape of the industry and future vehicles.
Reducing and even eliminating harmful exhaust emissions from cars and trucks and improving average fuel economy for vehicle fleets remain key challenges for global automakers, according to a recent J.D. Power paper, “The Changing Landscape of the Global Automotive Industry; A Global Shift in the Balance of Power.”
Tim Dunne, director of global automotive industry analysis at J.D. Power, discusses some of the changes in the powertrains and architecture of future vehicles that are in process and are projected in the future as part of a global automotive industry paper that has been published in several Standard & Poor’s publications.
A few excerpts from the paper on engineering innovation and emissions reduction are featured:
• Traditional ICEs that burn gasoline, diesel, or another combustible fuel will power a majority (97%) of passenger vehicles sold in 2013, according to LMC Automotive, J.D. Power’s strategic partner.
• Only 3% of the mix will have alternative powertrains—such as a hybrid powertrain—or a full battery EV.
• By 2020, the percentage of alternative powertrains is expected to increase slightly to 5% worldwide.
• Automakers and suppliers believe there is great potential to improve fuel economy and reduce emissions with current ICE technology.
• Smaller and more efficient 3- and 4-cylinder engines are expected.
• In 2013,LMC Automotive estimates that 3- and 4-cylinder engines will account for 84% of the global engine total.
• By 2020, the global percentage of small engines will rise to 87%.
• Technology improvements already are helping improve efficiency and reduce emissions—such as stop-start technology; turbochargers for smaller engines; and the introduction of more efficient 8-, 9- and 10-speed transmissions.
• J.D. Power expects the production of smaller and lighter vehicles to ramp up.
Dunne points out in his analysis that alternative vehicles could be a solution in the future if automakers can overcome two big hurdles: lowering prices and boosting performance.